Apenas no dia 19 de Abril, o mundo conhecerá a concorrida e glamorosa Seleção Oficial do midiático Festival de Cannes 2012, mas já temos nossos palpites… Os prognósticos, abaixo, são meras ponderações da boataria que cercou a imprensa, produtores e distribuidores sobre a escolha – e gostos – do curador Gilles Jacob. Na realidade, é uma lista decantada de tudo que já foi especulado (e confirmado) no nosso twitter oficial (@spoilermovies). Eis, então, nossas apostas dos principais contenders de Cannes 2012, com suas respectivas chances de figurar na Seleção Oficial:
Filme de Abertura
MOONRISE KINGDOM | Wes Anderson – 100%
Competição | Palma de Ouro (Extra-Oficial)
11.25 DAY OF DETERMINATION | Koji Wakamatsu – 75%
AFTER THE BATTLE | Yousry Nasrallah – 83%
ALL YOU NEED IS LOVE | Susanne Bier – 60%
BEYOND THE HILLS | Cristian Mungiu – 91%
BIG HOUSE | Matteo Garrone – 70%
COSMOPOLIS | David Cronenberg – 97%
DANS LA MAISON | François Ozon – 70%
IN THE FOG | Sergei Loznitsa – 87%
INHERITANCE | Hiam Abbass – 84%
IO E TE | Bernardo Bertolucci – 62%
LAURENCE ANYWAYS | Xavier Dolan – 75%
LIKE SOMEONE IN LOVE | Abbas Kiarostami – 100%
LOVE | Michael Haneke – 85%
ON THE ROAD | Walter Salles – 89%
POST TENEBRAS LUX | Carlos Reygadas – 85%
RUST AND BONE | Jacques Audiard – 89%
SOMETHING IN THE AIR | Olivier Assayas – 83%
THE ANGELS SHARES | Ken Loach – 79%
THE BURIAL | Terrence Malick – 79%
THE LAST SUPPER | Lu Chuan – 89%
THE TASTE OF MONEY | Im Sang-soo – 72%
Fora de Competição (Extra-Oficial)
FINAL CUT – HÖLGYEIM ÉS URAIM | György Pálfi – 75%
LA NOCHE DE ENFRENTE | Raoul Ruiz – 60%
MADAGASCAR 3: OS PROCURADOS | Tom McGrath – 100%
O GEBO E A SOMBRA | Manoel de Oliveira – 83%
TO ROME WITH LOVE | Woody Allen – 60%
Sessão “Um Certo Olhar” (Extra-Oficial)
VOUS N’AVEZ ENCORE RIEN VU | Alain Resnais – Filme de Abertura – 95%
CONFESSION OF A CHILD OF THE CENTURY | Sylvie Verheyde – 66%
ELEFANTE BLANCO | Pablo Trapero – 89%
HAND IN HAND | Valérie Donzelli – 50%
HISTORY OF THE ARKANAR MASSACRE | Aleksei German – 69%
HOLLY MOTORS | Leos Carax – 76%
IN ANOTHER COUNTRY | Hong Sang-soo – 27%
J’ENRAGE DE SON ABSENCE | Sandrine Bonnaire – 76%
KILLING THEM SOFTLY | Andrew Dominik – 85%
MUD | Jeff Nichols – 55%
NO | Pablo Larrain – 73%
PARADISE | Ulrich Seidl – 18%
PIETA | Kim Ki-Duk – 5%
RHINOS SEASON | Bahman Ghobadi – 72%
STOKER | Park Chan-Wook – 15%
THE PATIENCE STONE | Atiq Rahimi – 76%
THE PLACE BEYOND THE PINES | Derek Cianfrance – 67%
THE STORY OF MY DEATH | Albert Serra – 60%
THE SUICIDE SHOP | Patrice Leconte – 10%
THE WE AND THE I | Michel Gondry – 61%
WHAT MAISIE KNEW | Scott McGehee & David Siegel – 10%
Semana da Crítica / Quinzena dos Realizadores (Extra-Oficial)
AN ESTONIAN IN PARIS | Ilmar Raag – 50%
AYA DE YOPOUGON | Clément Oubrerie & Abouet Marguerite – 50%
BEASTS OF SOUTHERN WILD | Benh Zeitlin – 80%
BERBERIAN SOUND STUDIO | Peter Strickland – 50%
DAU | Ilya Khrzhanovsky – 50%
DREAM AND SILENCE | Jaime Rosales – 15%
ERNEST & CELESTINE | Stéphane Aubier, Vincent Patar & Benjamin Renner – 50%
FILLING THE VOID | Rama Burstein – 50%
HELI | Amat Escalante – 10%
JOURNAL DE FRANCE | Raymond Depardon & Claudine Nougaret – 16%
LA PIROGUE | Moussa Touré – 50%
LES ADORÉS | Hélène Fillières – 50%
LORE | Cate Shortland – 50%
MICHAEL KOHLHAAS | Arnaud des Pallières – 10%
OPÉRATION LIBERTAD | Nicolas Wladimoff – 100%
OUR CHILDREN | Joachim Lafosse – 15%
ROMANZO DI UNA STRANGE | Marco Tullio Giordana – 66%
TANGO LIBRE | Frédéric Fonteyne – 10%
THE BIG NIGHT | Benoît Delépine & Gustave Kervern – 50%
THE BROKEN CIRCLE BREAKDOWN | Felix Van Groeningen – 53%
THE DEEP | Baltasar Kormakur – 50%
THE HIJACKING | Tobias Lindholm – 50%
WELCOME TO THE PUNCH | Eran Creevy – 10%
Outras Possibilidades (Filmes Inacabados & Boatos)
A PIGEON SAT ON A BRANCH REFLECTING ON EXISTENCE | Roy Andersson – 50%
DARK SHADOWS | Tim Burton – 25%
DJANGO UNCHANEID | Quentin Tarantino – 25%
JIMMY PICARD | Arnauld Desplechin – 12%
LOOPER | Rian Johnson – 5%
LOWLIFE | James Gray – 5%
SAVAGES | Oliver Stone – 5%
SNOW WHITE AND THE HUNTSMAN | Rupert Sanders – 1%
SUPERSTAR | Xavier Giannoli – 10%
THE CONGRESS | Ari Folman – 15%
THE MASTER | Paul Thomas Anderson – 70%
THE TWILIGHT ZONES | David Chase – 1%
VALENTE | Mark Andrews – 1%
Fora de Cannes
FOXFIRE | Laurent Cantet – Premiere em TIFF 12
LA CRÉATICE | Bruno Dumont – Premiere em Veneza 12
THE GRANDMASTER | Wong Kar-wai – Premiere em Cannes 13
THE WETTEST COUNTY | John Hillcoat – Premiere em Veneza 12 (Competição)